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Both Sides: Should the US resume Iran strikes after the midterms?

The New York Times and ABC report U.S. and Israeli plans for a "short but intensive" round of strikes on Iran after the midterms; the White House says no attack comes before the vote. Trump and Netanyahu say pressure must end Iran's nuclear threat; critics, including some Iowa Republicans, doubt more war changes Tehran's stance.

By US Brief desk · Updated 2026-10-23T08:10:00-07:00

AI-assisted · US Brief desk · Sources listed below

Sailors watch flight operations on the deck of the aircraft carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt at sea

What happened

The New York Times reported Wednesday that the U.S. and Israeli militaries have drawn up plans for a "short but intensive" operation against Iran after the midterm elections, likely aimed at energy infrastructure, nuclear facilities and missile and drone arsenals. The Times said exercises are being flown over Iraq and that Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth met Netanyahu in Israel this week. It also reported that Trump has repeatedly vetoed strike plans, including this month when the militaries were nearly ready.

Why it matters

The reports put a possible renewed war right after the Nov. 3 elections, while gas prices and U.S. casualties are already campaign issues in states like Iowa, CNN reported.

More context

The White House response: Spokesperson Anna Kelly told ABC News, "The United States will not be attacking Iran at any time prior to the midterm elections," adding that the White House does not comment on "sensitive military plans that may or may not exist" and that Trump "keeps all options on the table." An Israeli source told ABC, "Hunting season is open as soon as the elections end," while saying the decision is "only for Trump to decide."

What Trump said: "There's a price to pay, which I knew immediately when I did it," Trump said Thursday, according to Fox News. "We've knocked the hell out of them. And we may do it a little bit further." At a Sioux City, Iowa, rally he said, "We're going to have Iran finished very soon. One way or the other," CNN reported.

The case for resuming strikes: Supporters, led by Trump and Netanyahu, argue Iran cannot be allowed a nuclear weapon and that pressure is working. Netanyahu said, "There is only one way to remove this threat once and for all: overthrow the regime in Iran," per Fox News. U.S. Central Command says its blockade has prevented "at least $25 billion" in Iranian crude exports. The Times reported some officials believe one more big round could push Iran's economy over the brink, and that Iranian negotiators remain unwilling to make nuclear concessions. Fox News contributor Rebeccah Heinrichs said she expects action after the midterms. One rally attendee told Fox the goal "is worth the high gas prices."

The case against: Dana Stroul, a Pentagon Middle East official in the Biden administration now at the Washington Institute, told the Times the campaign, sanctions and blockade "have not brought the regime back to the negotiating table in a meaningful way," and that neither leader "has made a compelling case for how more war would change this strategic dilemma." Iran has threatened data centers and undersea cables, and Mahdi Mohammadi, an adviser to Iran's parliament speaker, called a quick 72-hour wrap-up a "fantasy." In Iowa, some Republican voters told CNN they fear gas prices: "I bet it would skyrocket again," said Christine Brenden. GOP Senate nominee Ashley Hinson said "nobody wants a forever war," and Reps. Zach Nunn and Mariannette Miller-Meeks voted for a war powers resolution.

Weak spot (case for strikes): The Times noted that U.S. officials "have frequently predicted Iran's collapse," and weapons specialists told the paper the MOAB bomb explodes above ground and likely would not destroy the granite-shielded Pickaxe Mountain site, while its MC-130 delivery plane is vulnerable.

Weak spot (case against): Stroul's critique, as quoted, does not lay out an alternative that has produced nuclear concessions; the Times reports Iran's negotiators are still unwilling to make them under the current sanctions-and-blockade approach.

How outlets framed it: The Times led with the plans and officials' doubts about whether a short campaign would succeed. ABC emphasized Israeli sources saying regime change, not a deal, is Israel's top goal. Fox News' live coverage highlighted the blockade's results, IRGC threats against U.S. bases and supporters willing to pay more at the pump. CNN centered wary Iowa Republicans and the two Iowa soldiers killed in the war, Maj. Jeffrey O'Brien and Sgt. Declan Coady.

Where they split: Supporters see time and pressure on America's side; skeptics argue more strikes raise costs at home without changing Tehran's nuclear stance. Some Iowa voters fall in between: "Costs are higher, but a nuclear war is a lot more expensive," Les Cleveringa told CNN.

What's still unknown: Whether Trump approves any plan, how Israel's Oct. 27 election affects timing, and how Iran would retaliate. The Pentagon has not confirmed the plans.

Sources across the spectrum This story cites right-leaning and left-leaning outlets. Every source is listed below.

5 listed sources

References listed by US Brief; a source count is not a verification score.

Editorial sourcing notes

Sourcing: The New York Times (left-leaning) first reported the plans; ABC News added Israeli-source detail and the White House statement. Fox News (right-leaning) and CNN (left-leaning) supply each side's framing and voter reaction. Military plans are described as reported by unnamed officials; none have been confirmed by the Pentagon. Hero photo is a 2024 Navy file image, not a current deployment.

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